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881112

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a
Обновлено: 2026-07-05 23:17:06
Общий PnL+$418 798.28Реализованный: +$422 010.41 · Нереализованный: $-171 804.94
Открытая стоимость+$85 397.22Текущая стоимость открытых позиций
ROI+26.08%Доходность по имеющимся данным
Win rate+100.00%Доля прибыльных закрытых сделок
Сделки за 30 дней405Недавняя активность трейдера
Месяцев активности4Первая сделка: 2026-04-19 12:17:18
Объём+$16 145 878.53Совокупный объём торговли
Динамика+$250 205.4724 ч · +$250 205.47 · +$250 205.47

Кривая капитала

Открытые позиции

Текущие рынки и результат по ним.
Рынок Исход Объём Средняя цена Текущая цена Нереализованный PnL
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 11 999.92 +$0.2524 +$1.0000 +$8 970.13
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 22 709.65 +$0.3657 +$0.2950 $-1 607.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes 8 137.17 +$0.2860 +$0.2350 $-415.72
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes 15 321.90 +$0.1833 +$0.1150 $-1 046.98
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes 9 541.78 +$0.2328 +$0.1550 $-743.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 8 258.99 +$0.5102 +$0.1550 $-2 934.30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 29 679.97 +$0.0266 +$0.0415 +$440.75
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? Yes 27 746.18 +$0.2086 +$0.0240 $-5 124.50
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 9 775.73 +$0.0514 +$0.0660 +$141.92
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No 8 357.44 +$0.8543 +$0.0750 $-6 513.11
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10 000.00 +$0.0655 +$0.0625 $-30.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 10 000.00 +$0.0700 +$0.0170 $-530.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 149 983.22 +$0.0250 +$0.0010 $-3 607.85
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 115 530.46 +$0.1020 +$0.0010 $-11 677.93
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 25 924.18 +$0.1069 +$0.0030 $-2 694.46
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 43 921.77 +$0.0432 +$0.0010 $-1 855.61
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 12 618.75 +$0.2135 +$0.0010 $-2 682.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? Yes 10 645.03 +$0.0246 +$0.0010 $-251.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 13 680.50 +$0.2197 +$0.0005 $-3 000.11
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 9 999.99 +$0.0028 $0.0000 $-28.77
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 9 999.98 +$0.0029 $0.0000 $-29.96
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 7 999.98 +$0.0039 $0.0000 $-31.68
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 14 554.82 +$0.0025 $0.0000 $-37.60
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 12 472.05 +$0.0043 $0.0000 $-53.69
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)? Yes 10 051.47 +$0.0054 $0.0000 $-54.69
Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)? Yes 11 291.11 +$0.0054 $0.0000 $-61.13
Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)? Yes 8 556.17 +$0.0074 $0.0000 $-64.07
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? Yes 11 278.35 +$0.0058 $0.0000 $-66.22
Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)? Yes 11 845.17 +$0.0061 $0.0000 $-73.13
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)? Yes 13 057.25 +$0.0057 $0.0000 $-74.64
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 14 999.98 +$0.0050 $0.0000 $-75.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)? Yes 17 907.24 +$0.0051 $0.0000 $-92.54
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes 11 519.83 +$0.0095 $0.0000 $-110.14
Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)? Yes 19 233.81 +$0.0058 $0.0000 $-112.59
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 9 000.00 +$0.0134 $0.0000 $-121.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)? Yes 15 489.54 +$0.0082 $0.0000 $-128.38
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 24 999.98 +$0.0051 $0.0000 $-129.80
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? Yes 20 393.74 +$0.0064 $0.0000 $-132.29
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? Yes 8 422.49 +$0.0169 $0.0000 $-143.14
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)? Yes 15 709.83 +$0.0096 $0.0000 $-151.99
Will Iran strike Israel on March 1? No 8 899.98 +$0.0176 $0.0000 $-157.26
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? Yes 23 995.73 +$0.0080 $0.0000 $-192.95
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? Yes 17 189.64 +$0.0127 $0.0000 $-219.06
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 46 362.63 +$0.0060 $0.0000 $-282.12
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21 724.48 +$0.0144 $0.0000 $-314.59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 9 586.38 +$0.0370 $0.0000 $-354.75
Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)? Yes 38 274.90 +$0.0094 $0.0000 $-360.63
Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)? Yes 34 223.58 +$0.0108 $0.0000 $-372.28
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 25 308.82 +$0.0151 $0.0000 $-383.86
Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)? Yes 31 104.22 +$0.0151 $0.0000 $-470.33
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? Yes 54 464.16 +$0.0088 $0.0000 $-484.30
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%? Yes 8 119.33 +$0.0600 $0.0000 $-487.16
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)? Yes 33 541.64 +$0.0145 $0.0000 $-488.70
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)? Yes 37 400.77 +$0.0148 $0.0000 $-553.87
Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? Yes 38 369.68 +$0.0150 $0.0000 $-577.04
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 11 464.15 +$0.0522 $0.0000 $-598.67
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)? Yes 42 061.84 +$0.0161 $0.0000 $-677.66
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%? Yes 9 867.06 +$0.0709 $0.0000 $-700.17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 8 999.95 +$0.0800 $0.0000 $-720.00
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026? No 8 240.10 +$0.0874 $0.0000 $-720.23
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? No 8 229.15 +$0.0968 $0.0000 $-796.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Yes 9 563.32 +$0.0842 $0.0000 $-805.52
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? Yes 48 112.32 +$0.0167 $0.0000 $-807.76
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes 10 389.45 +$0.0781 $0.0000 $-811.45
Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? Yes 48 894.52 +$0.0170 $0.0000 $-836.05
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026? No 8 183.47 +$0.1053 $0.0000 $-862.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? Yes 9 114.53 +$0.1013 $0.0000 $-924.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Yes 16 247.77 +$0.0600 $0.0000 $-974.87
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Yes 12 216.91 +$0.0816 $0.0000 $-997.58
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? Yes 17 098.52 +$0.0600 $0.0000 $-1 025.91
US forces enter Iran by December 31? No 19 192.16 +$0.0578 $0.0000 $-1 110.11
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? Yes 21 297.26 +$0.0530 $0.0000 $-1 129.50
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? No 12 727.96 +$0.0922 $0.0000 $-1 174.19
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? No 38 715.15 +$0.0315 $0.0000 $-1 220.07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? Yes 11 013.96 +$0.1337 $0.0000 $-1 473.19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes 11 847.68 +$0.1339 $0.0000 $-1 587.45
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition No 19 380.93 +$0.0924 $0.0000 $-1 792.29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 18 848.85 +$0.0979 $0.0000 $-1 846.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? Yes 8 992.12 +$0.2069 $0.0000 $-1 861.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? Yes 36 787.79 +$0.0510 $0.0000 $-1 877.02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? Yes 15 544.93 +$0.1218 $0.0000 $-1 893.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes 20 948.69 +$0.0957 $0.0000 $-2 005.59
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? Yes 9 285.67 +$0.2172 $0.0000 $-2 016.95
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026? No 21 989.63 +$0.1048 $0.0000 $-2 305.81
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 45 170.03 +$0.0515 $0.0000 $-2 330.28
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? Yes 13 704.16 +$0.1785 $0.0000 $-2 446.33
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 24 587.86 +$0.1049 $0.0000 $-2 581.36
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? Yes 24 632.64 +$0.1188 $0.0000 $-2 928.53
Government shutdown on Saturday? Yes 13 893.61 +$0.2161 $0.0000 $-3 003.63
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Yes 30 624.38 +$0.1004 $0.0000 $-3 075.45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? Yes 25 523.34 +$0.1300 $0.0000 $-3 320.20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 10 132.07 +$0.3849 $0.0000 $-3 899.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 68 779.97 +$0.0584 $0.0000 $-4 022.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? No 13 396.22 +$0.3450 $0.0000 $-4 621.73
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? No 13 904.96 +$0.3884 $0.0000 $-5 401.40
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%? Yes 27 021.32 +$0.2219 $0.0000 $-5 998.46
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes 52 123.39 +$0.1315 $0.0000 $-6 857.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 11 891.37 +$0.6061 $0.0000 $-7 207.59
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Yes 119 827.56 +$0.1116 $0.0000 $-13 373.35
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? Yes 26 640.48 +$0.8464 $0.0000 $-22 550.64

История закрытых позиций

Последние закрытые позиции трейдера.
Дата Рынок Исход Средняя цена Объём PnL
2026-06-18 00:32:17 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes +$0.1210 191 917.52 +$98 700.98
2026-06-15 04:49:42 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +$0.2967 52 475.68 +$22 420.02
2026-05-27 23:19:26 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? No +$0.1294 24 399.25 +$18 015.72
2026-03-04 05:41:29 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? Yes +$0.9829 65 063.91 +$19 406.24
2026-03-01 07:24:07 Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? Yes +$0.1424 28 880.29 +$23 887.54
2026-02-13 09:10:47 Government shutdown on Saturday? No +$0.1032 198 352.41 +$113 190.47
2026-02-04 18:16:53 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? No +$0.6242 43 144.96 +$19 129.16
2025-11-13 04:47:16 Will the government shutdown end November 13? Yes +$0.0398 37 119.35 +$25 067.99
2025-10-09 02:21:44 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? Yes +$0.1253 37 359.57 +$32 137.80
2025-10-08 23:23:19 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? Yes +$0.1644 79 409.51 +$37 866.14

История сделок

Последние 200 сделок трейдера.
Время Сторона Рынок Исход Объём Цена Сумма Tx
2026-07-05 04:22:41 BUY Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes 205.10 +$0.5400 +$110.75 0x56d02f52…
2026-07-05 04:14:25 BUY Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5 000.00 +$0.0670 +$335.00 0x37c8ebcb…
2026-07-05 04:07:28 BUY Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? Yes 1 022.33 +$0.0310 +$31.69 0x73b357f1…
2026-07-05 04:07:22 BUY Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? No 1 586.50 +$0.9700 +$1 538.91 0x3c2bf585…
2026-07-05 04:05:38 BUY Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No 1 127.18 +$0.1500 +$169.08 0x627d7ea1…
2026-07-05 03:54:59 BUY Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? No 3 086.35 +$0.3400 +$1 049.36 0x14a9c6e1…
2026-07-05 03:53:50 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 5 097.47 +$0.0400 +$203.90 0xeff84097…
2026-07-05 03:47:50 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 40.00 +$0.1210 +$4.84 0x56788bc7…
2026-07-04 21:28:41 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 3 220.73 +$0.3100 +$998.43 0xccd80b0b…
2026-07-04 16:48:56 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 308.18 +$0.0210 +$6.47 0x85663836…
2026-07-04 16:29:14 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 10 265.06 +$0.0210 +$215.57 0xe02d0e08…
2026-07-04 16:07:59 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 2 000.00 +$0.3600 +$720.00 0xb714713a…
2026-07-04 16:02:38 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 7 750.00 +$0.0180 +$139.50 0x8dd03d3b…
2026-07-03 19:22:53 SELL Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 949.61 +$0.4776 +$453.54 0xcc71e094…
2026-07-03 19:12:26 SELL Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? No 1 361.30 +$0.9121 +$1 241.58 0xb453c0ec…
2026-07-03 18:59:17 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? Yes 1 735.01 +$0.1357 +$235.40 0x9be7f5a7…
2026-07-03 18:58:49 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 1 777.12 +$0.1299 +$230.91 0x278daedf…
2026-07-03 18:37:53 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 256.68 +$0.5400 +$138.61 0xd7cd294e…
2026-07-03 18:33:16 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 212.47 +$0.1600 +$34.00 0xd19cf631…
2026-07-03 18:32:59 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 2 711.85 +$0.1526 +$413.89 0x7db6f5e8…
2026-07-03 18:10:37 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 2 271.47 +$0.1710 +$388.41 0xc32f116c…
2026-07-03 18:07:38 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 749.44 +$0.1800 +$134.90 0x80916f48…
2026-07-03 17:52:56 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 1 603.07 +$0.3130 +$501.76 0x0c0fc227…
2026-07-03 17:48:08 BUY Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 100.00 +$0.3600 +$36.00 0xbb6c5b66…
2026-07-03 17:48:05 BUY Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 391.12 +$0.6800 +$265.96 0x2007550a…
2026-07-03 17:42:11 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? Yes 144.23 +$0.3000 +$43.27 0x59b7678d…
2026-07-03 17:24:23 SELL Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 92.01 +$0.3940 +$36.25 0x171bd01c…
2026-07-03 17:23:05 BUY Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 563.62 +$0.2569 +$144.80 0x6c5bf9a9…
2026-07-03 17:21:29 SELL Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 581.47 +$0.2800 +$162.81 0xf9866039…
2026-07-03 17:18:55 SELL Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 426.40 +$0.2900 +$123.66 0xe7a60bb1…
2026-07-03 17:12:10 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 1 869.47 +$0.3700 +$691.70 0x4f642fbe…
2026-07-03 17:04:46 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 1 279.56 +$0.3904 +$499.55 0x82584181…
2026-07-03 07:02:14 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 1 215.25 +$0.9650 +$1 172.72 0xa5a7564a…
2026-07-03 06:36:55 SELL Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? No 580.16 +$0.5500 +$319.09 0xa4a758ef…
2026-07-03 06:36:11 BUY Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? No 101.66 +$0.6000 +$61.00 0x5af04311…
2026-07-03 06:30:59 BUY Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5 000.00 +$0.0250 +$125.00 0x4e20dc5a…
2026-07-03 06:30:07 BUY Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7 500.00 +$0.0130 +$97.50 0x7c292c32…
2026-07-03 06:29:58 BUY Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5 000.00 +$0.0640 +$320.00 0x64b0b8e2…
2026-07-03 06:29:32 BUY Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5 000.00 +$0.0260 +$130.00 0x553990bb…
2026-07-03 06:28:55 BUY Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5 000.00 +$0.1230 +$615.00 0x2eaaf92b…
2026-07-03 06:14:20 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 4 318.03 +$0.3900 +$1 684.03 0xe5061d25…
2026-07-03 06:14:08 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 6 103.69 +$0.3900 +$2 380.44 0x5f97f7dc…
2026-07-01 20:53:38 BUY Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? No 462.01 +$0.4500 +$207.90 0xd6ca4149…
2026-07-01 20:53:32 BUY Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? No 495.16 +$0.4500 +$222.82 0xa6b2d91a…
2026-07-01 18:11:20 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? No 767.25 +$0.1500 +$115.09 0x0e24f7fe…
2026-07-01 18:08:37 SELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? Yes 4 381.44 +$0.0404 +$177.04 0x96b6cf72…
2026-07-01 18:07:16 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 713.68 +$0.3700 +$264.06 0xf2d459ac…
2026-07-01 18:00:49 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? No 1 016.06 +$0.6599 +$670.45 0x99f4ec3c…
2026-07-01 08:29:11 BUY US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 4 123.52 +$0.3800 +$1 566.94 0x1851bb37…
2026-07-01 08:28:34 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 200.00 +$0.9000 +$180.00 0x99899b0a…
2026-07-01 08:22:04 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6? No 5 422.16 +$0.9330 +$5 058.88 0xf3884585…
2026-07-01 08:20:13 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7? No 692.69 +$0.6400 +$443.32 0xd4280e88…
2026-07-01 08:17:13 BUY Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 10 000.00 +$0.0700 +$700.00 0xc9451aec…
2026-07-01 08:11:10 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7? No 910.66 +$0.9260 +$843.27 0xf3576546…
2026-07-01 08:10:55 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4? No 562.68 +$0.9415 +$529.77 0x4127b064…
2026-07-01 08:09:52 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1? No 1 241.35 +$0.9480 +$1 176.80 0x265b5020…
2026-07-01 08:09:19 BUY Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? Yes 724.01 +$0.4900 +$354.76 0xae023cde…
2026-07-01 08:03:34 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 2 225.00 +$0.7500 +$1 668.75 0xa067a3a9…
2026-06-30 16:40:44 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 226.62 +$0.5500 +$124.64 0x96bd4297…
2026-06-30 16:40:40 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 99.53 +$0.5600 +$55.74 0x0874aaad…
2026-06-30 16:34:26 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 825.18 +$0.1977 +$163.16 0x4d78e6e0…
2026-06-30 16:28:40 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 349.18 +$0.4300 +$150.15 0xb2b6df36…
2026-06-30 16:18:13 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes 2 771.39 +$0.2466 +$683.38 0x810ef887…
2026-06-30 07:22:34 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 189.39 +$0.5898 +$111.69 0x31befe1e…
2026-06-30 06:55:16 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 613.98 +$0.4983 +$305.92 0x67622225…
2026-06-29 13:29:10 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 333.00 +$0.7400 +$246.42 0x1894093d…
2026-06-29 13:23:46 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 459.34 +$0.7200 +$330.72 0x72a40f6d…
2026-06-29 13:20:02 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 164.89 +$0.7500 +$123.67 0xb5f6f9d1…
2026-06-29 13:19:50 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 449.00 +$0.7600 +$341.24 0xabf20cac…
2026-06-29 13:19:28 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 4 899.58 +$0.7843 +$3 842.89 0xd8e367a2…
2026-06-29 13:15:53 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 150.01 +$0.7900 +$118.51 0xac89a8f4…
2026-06-29 13:15:17 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 364.00 +$0.7800 +$283.92 0x09bdf72a…
2026-06-29 13:15:11 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 555.00 +$0.7800 +$432.90 0x0697d45b…
2026-06-29 12:46:44 SELL Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 40.00 +$0.2863 +$11.45 0x6af2521b…
2026-06-29 12:46:41 SELL Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 56.01 +$0.2811 +$15.74 0x6a887d8d…
2026-06-29 12:43:19 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 897.38 +$0.6300 +$565.35 0xcca3ffbd…
2026-06-29 12:41:38 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 714.62 +$0.6257 +$447.16 0xdb675787…
2026-06-29 12:38:50 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 5 376.70 +$0.5896 +$3 170.25 0x02911bb7…
2026-06-29 12:38:49 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 900.00 +$0.5870 +$528.32 0x8ec1ad91…
2026-06-29 12:35:26 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 3.61 +$0.7400 +$2.67 0x6425ae2d…
2026-06-29 12:33:16 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? Yes 1 123.28 +$0.7000 +$786.30 0x300bf64a…
2026-06-29 06:25:08 BUY WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29? Up 200.00 +$0.4100 +$82.00 0x87d4dd1e…
2026-06-29 06:16:13 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8? No 1 652.10 +$0.9000 +$1 486.89 0xa68e46a4…
2026-06-29 06:15:29 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29? No 1 267.68 +$0.9010 +$1 142.14 0xcf31bdd5…
2026-06-29 06:10:58 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 821.70 +$0.5527 +$454.15 0x07675c1c…
2026-06-29 06:10:25 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 4 267.67 +$0.7912 +$3 376.46 0x4d3d9761…
2026-06-29 00:55:53 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 217.81 +$0.8000 +$174.25 0x53df92b1…
2026-06-29 00:55:38 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 937.05 +$0.7992 +$748.93 0x98ab61d8…
2026-06-29 00:14:10 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 1 242.75 +$0.7737 +$961.48 0x8771beca…
2026-06-29 00:06:28 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 451.59 +$0.4998 +$225.68 0x01992d62…
2026-06-29 00:02:10 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 237.31 +$0.4795 +$113.80 0xe3bf00b2…
2026-06-28 23:55:32 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 556.00 +$0.4701 +$261.40 0x22e4fae1…
2026-06-28 23:55:08 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 444.38 +$0.7808 +$346.99 0x93ed0a8a…
2026-06-28 23:55:05 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 733.80 +$0.7840 +$575.30 0x9c6d3fd1…
2026-06-28 22:12:11 SELL No one announced as next James Bond? Yes 88.93 +$0.9770 +$86.88 0x1ce74e26…
2026-06-28 22:10:58 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 4 120.19 +$0.7849 +$3 233.92 0x6619d375…
2026-06-28 18:51:40 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 82.69 +$0.2340 +$19.35 0x4ee0ec64…
2026-06-28 16:58:19 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 6.26 +$0.3190 +$2.00 0x3ad160e2…
2026-06-28 16:52:56 SELL Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 1 290.53 +$0.4500 +$580.74 0xa1aa9577…
2026-06-28 16:52:47 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 381.74 +$0.8600 +$328.30 0x954dc824…
2026-06-28 16:45:05 SELL Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 3 753.80 +$0.3510 +$1 317.58 0x4570a5b6…
2026-06-28 05:42:56 BUY Iran full airspace closure by June 30? No 173.85 +$0.9059 +$157.50 0xffd3ba78…
2026-06-28 05:38:49 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 30.00 +$0.8300 +$24.90 0xb607925b…
2026-06-28 05:35:52 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 3 899.27 +$0.4614 +$1 798.94 0xb008877a…
2026-06-28 05:29:55 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 885.83 +$0.4480 +$396.85 0x92d24459…
2026-06-28 04:35:47 BUY Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? Yes 1 250.00 +$0.0547 +$68.43 0xa4f5f708…
2026-06-28 04:18:17 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 1.76 +$0.4210 +$0.74 0x394c7fd7…
2026-06-28 03:08:40 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 2 057.97 +$0.3389 +$697.41 0xd283a9a7…
2026-06-28 03:08:28 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 107.81 +$0.2693 +$29.03 0x57ce7fe7…
2026-06-28 01:51:43 BUY Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 1 050.00 +$0.6000 +$630.00 0x407c7980…
2026-06-28 01:46:13 SELL Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 607.51 +$0.8100 +$492.08 0x00bfed5b…
2026-06-28 01:34:11 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 474.96 +$0.3755 +$178.34 0x97e7af1e…
2026-06-28 01:16:22 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 1 055.79 +$0.3500 +$369.50 0x88532055…
2026-06-28 01:07:59 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No 845.74 +$0.3523 +$297.93 0x4f091472…
2026-06-28 01:07:35 BUY Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 3 904.26 +$0.7484 +$2 921.95 0x429af4e0…
2026-06-27 22:19:56 SELL Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No 1 799.93 +$0.1041 +$187.44 0x02fc845d…
2026-06-27 21:55:59 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 33.78 +$0.8900 +$30.06 0x788eb91c…
2026-06-27 21:39:04 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? Yes 665.59 +$0.9400 +$625.65 0xb5ff99fe…
2026-06-27 21:37:59 SELL Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? No 399.00 +$0.1207 +$48.16 0x769e1000…
2026-06-27 21:35:10 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? Yes 500.00 +$0.6600 +$330.00 0x1bbb7ac2…
2026-06-27 21:09:55 SELL Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes 1 647.05 +$0.9102 +$1 499.18 0xd3982f9f…
2026-06-27 20:42:50 SELL Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes 200.00 +$0.9500 +$190.00 0xc6b75ed2…
2026-06-27 20:35:43 SELL Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 211.61 +$0.6800 +$143.89 0x4df1fa2b…
2026-06-27 20:30:46 SELL Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes 1 556.59 +$0.9400 +$1 463.19 0x40206dad…
2026-06-27 20:15:04 BUY Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes 2 403.30 +$0.9310 +$2 237.47 0xa7f4d926…
2026-06-27 20:10:22 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? Yes 900.00 +$0.7000 +$630.00 0xeb298e73…
2026-06-27 20:03:41 BUY Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 20.00 +$0.3500 +$7.00 0x1ab61f19…
2026-06-27 20:03:19 BUY Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 221.83 +$0.1900 +$42.15 0x9a331851…
2026-06-27 20:03:16 BUY Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 100.00 +$0.1800 +$18.00 0x4c2bf27e…
2026-06-27 19:40:34 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 13 478.53 +$0.0170 +$229.54 0x46220d7a…
2026-06-27 15:34:08 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? Yes 1 853.00 +$0.6996 +$1 296.38 0x93b1562e…
2026-06-27 15:33:58 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? No 1 853.88 +$0.2289 +$424.39 0x90347aff…
2026-06-27 14:22:14 BUY Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 2 010.64 +$0.0600 +$120.64 0x7f83f08e…
2026-06-27 12:48:44 BUY Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 61.98 +$0.9500 +$58.88 0xad78dfc0…
2026-06-27 12:44:19 SELL Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 609.85 +$0.4500 +$274.43 0x227985e0…
2026-06-27 12:42:38 SELL Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? No 200.00 +$0.1300 +$26.00 0x34e21240…
2026-06-27 12:29:40 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 230.00 +$0.6300 +$144.90 0x28bf91e1…
2026-06-26 21:17:20 SELL Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 23.00 +$0.5200 +$11.96 0xad640761…
2026-06-26 19:10:23 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 196.99 +$0.4500 +$88.65 0x60291139…
2026-06-26 18:51:38 BUY US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No 1 164.00 +$0.0417 +$48.56 0x2f00006a…
2026-06-26 17:44:16 BUY Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 1 300.04 +$0.9200 +$1 196.04 0x52d7d0ff…
2026-06-26 16:44:53 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 69.31 +$0.5000 +$34.66 0xee1ecfda…
2026-06-26 16:42:56 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5? No 540.00 +$0.9400 +$507.60 0xe17c78f0…
2026-06-26 16:40:28 BUY Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 1 393.29 +$0.1060 +$147.69 0x10046994…
2026-06-26 16:30:17 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 538.54 +$0.6949 +$374.21 0x9848bbf1…
2026-06-26 16:24:46 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30? No 466.99 +$0.6300 +$294.20 0xee1aea42…
2026-06-26 16:24:25 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26? No 636.56 +$0.8487 +$540.27 0x78ed0ead…
2026-06-26 16:20:32 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? No 0.48 +$0.6800 +$0.33 0x08abbb6e…
2026-06-26 16:14:25 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26? No 1 747.34 +$0.7960 +$1 390.91 0x952ad7db…
2026-06-26 16:08:23 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? No 462.85 +$0.7522 +$348.15 0x339a2543…
2026-06-26 16:04:23 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? No 510.30 +$0.9504 +$484.98 0xda8badae…
2026-06-26 16:04:19 BUY Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27? No 48.00 +$0.9490 +$45.55 0xc3f32261…
2026-06-26 16:03:05 SELL WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 480.00 +$0.0590 +$28.32 0x6836d084…
2026-06-26 15:58:31 SELL WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 3 432.60 +$0.0540 +$185.36 0x5fea1949…
2026-06-26 15:54:25 BUY WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 28 569.97 +$0.0510 +$1 456.38 0x7d0512ca…
2026-06-26 15:53:58 SELL Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 574.00 +$0.7807 +$448.11 0xb9282fdd…
2026-06-26 15:53:49 SELL Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 742.77 +$0.7953 +$590.76 0x9d323def…
2026-06-26 15:50:41 BUY Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? No 414.40 +$0.9200 +$381.25 0x91441e2e…
2026-06-26 15:41:26 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 205.38 +$0.6900 +$141.71 0x16f659fd…
2026-06-26 15:26:34 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? No 367.00 +$0.5098 +$187.10 0x0e004997…
2026-06-26 14:39:31 SELL Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 4 360.31 +$0.0500 +$218.02 0xc42f4ea0…
2026-06-26 14:37:35 BUY Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 18.78 +$0.0220 +$0.41 0x54441bea…
2026-06-26 14:36:28 BUY Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 437.86 +$0.4400 +$192.66 0xa4f45a34…
2026-06-26 14:30:23 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 5 331.09 +$0.2800 +$1 492.75 0xd3e24f17…
2026-06-26 03:27:49 BUY US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No 176.00 +$0.0230 +$4.05 0x76d6f0e5…
2026-06-26 02:57:02 BUY WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 614.50 +$0.3700 +$227.37 0x3fb09cac…
2026-06-26 02:21:13 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 461.00 +$0.4200 +$193.62 0xd335572e…
2026-06-25 21:13:52 BUY WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26? Up 225.37 +$0.4900 +$110.43 0x2aa977e5…
2026-06-25 20:55:59 BUY US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No 2 348.54 +$0.1957 +$459.65 0x0071e2eb…
2026-06-25 20:48:26 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 5 176.40 +$0.0700 +$362.35 0x4be7a23b…
2026-06-25 20:42:31 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 587.90 +$0.4600 +$270.43 0x49a7eba3…
2026-06-25 20:16:32 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 3 125.63 +$0.0700 +$218.79 0x962c76c6…
2026-06-25 20:10:23 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 7 940.13 +$0.4600 +$3 652.46 0x023290f8…
2026-06-23 20:43:52 BUY Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? Yes 2 614.99 +$0.1200 +$313.80 0x91967980…
2026-06-23 20:43:02 SELL Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 5 391.21 +$0.0150 +$80.87 0x505bf4a4…
2026-06-23 16:17:22 BUY Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No 278.96 +$0.9630 +$268.63 0xa5d50b76…
2026-06-23 06:36:46 SELL Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? No 20.00 +$0.7700 +$15.40 0x2f65de89…
2026-06-23 06:36:43 SELL Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? No 31.51 +$0.7800 +$24.58 0xe09d97f6…
2026-06-23 06:35:49 BUY Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? No 769.00 +$0.9001 +$692.14 0xae7c073b…
2026-06-23 06:35:26 SELL Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? Yes 1 285.52 +$0.0900 +$115.70 0x4afbf479…
2026-06-23 06:29:41 BUY Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No 127.62 +$0.9608 +$122.62 0x177cf6b5…
2026-06-23 06:27:47 SELL Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? No 141.70 +$0.7209 +$102.15 0xa97c01c1…
2026-06-23 06:27:37 SELL Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? No 234.10 +$0.7329 +$171.57 0x4eafd905…
2026-06-23 06:26:08 BUY Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? No 751.59 +$0.2944 +$221.24 0xb01c3cec…
2026-06-23 06:20:10 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 7.01 +$0.8100 +$5.68 0xdd45791f…
2026-06-23 06:19:46 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 7.01 +$0.8100 +$5.68 0x43a9ddda…
2026-06-23 06:19:38 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 629.55 +$0.8100 +$509.94 0xef91d3ce…
2026-06-23 06:19:28 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 629.56 +$0.8264 +$520.24 0x3184405d…
2026-06-23 06:19:08 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? No 714.95 +$0.4986 +$356.50 0xfe5c37bb…
2026-06-23 06:18:38 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 285.02 +$0.2800 +$79.81 0xf08c2d03…
2026-06-23 05:45:02 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 587.22 +$0.2800 +$164.42 0xea9bc5e0…
2026-06-23 05:44:59 SELL US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 407.00 +$0.2900 +$118.03 0x57fa7652…
2026-06-23 05:37:31 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 14 729.39 +$0.2177 +$3 206.01 0x09023f57…
2026-06-23 05:33:08 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? No 1 273.13 +$0.6950 +$884.79 0xd6270d1d…
2026-06-23 04:28:40 BUY Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28? Yes 150.00 +$0.6300 +$94.50 0x26797700…
2026-06-23 04:24:28 SELL Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 418.49 +$0.1800 +$75.33 0x20738f1d…
2026-06-23 04:11:41 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? No 20.00 +$0.6200 +$12.40 0x2a96a01a…
2026-06-23 04:11:26 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? No 20.00 +$0.5900 +$11.80 0x4509f2a4…
2026-06-23 04:06:20 BUY US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No 39.00 +$0.1900 +$7.41 0x7bfd7a0f…
2026-06-22 13:59:31 BUY Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No 436.69 +$0.9703 +$423.71 0xe6ca2bc3…