Кривая капитала
Открытые позиции
Текущие рынки и результат по ним.
Отображение колонок
История закрытых позиций
Последние закрытые позиции трейдера.
Отображение колонок
| Дата | Рынок | Исход | Средняя цена | Объём | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 11:36:20 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | +$0.5563 | 65 730.50 | +$29 100.47 |
| 2026-07-03 23:10:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | +$0.0939 | 60 502.34 | +$22 618.21 |
| 2026-06-21 13:33:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Yes | +$0.3256 | 71 378.10 | +$25 357.73 |
| 2026-06-17 15:27:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | +$0.1003 | 610 945.86 | +$521 568.73 |
| 2026-06-07 23:13:34 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Yes | +$0.5425 | 46 086.97 | +$19 500.84 |
| 2026-05-24 08:35:42 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | No | +$0.0350 | 70 074.42 | +$37 673.97 |
| 2026-04-22 07:46:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | +$0.5334 | 64 261.58 | +$21 337.07 |
| 2026-04-20 21:50:40 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | +$0.1547 | 87 460.76 | +$21 075.69 |
| 2026-01-31 05:12:40 | US government shutdown Saturday? | No | +$0.0553 | 853 413.36 | +$24 825.29 |
| 2025-09-24 07:08:53 | Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30? | Yes | +$0.1821 | 27 478.07 | +$22 125.61 |
История сделок
Последние 200 сделок трейдера.
Отображение колонок
| Время | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Объём | Цена | Сумма | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 17:59:26 | BUY | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31? | No | 12 822.63 | +$0.9600 | +$12 309.72 | 0x51845e8d… |
| 2026-07-07 13:43:14 | BUY | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | No | 3 387.80 | +$0.0225 | +$76.30 | 0x43fcf755… |
| 2026-07-07 01:32:44 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 8 166.20 | +$0.2073 | +$1 692.77 | 0x132c2dda… |
| 2026-07-07 01:23:13 | BUY | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 17 876.00 | +$0.3860 | +$6 899.64 | 0xcad8a578… |
| 2026-07-07 01:16:52 | BUY | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 2 048.35 | +$0.3700 | +$757.89 | 0xeb6d9988… |
| 2026-07-07 00:46:41 | BUY | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 19 839.38 | +$0.6230 | +$12 359.46 | 0x3f6494e8… |
| 2026-07-07 00:02:59 | BUY | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6? | No | 895.41 | +$0.9292 | +$832.01 | 0x00267675… |
| 2026-07-06 20:28:11 | BUY | Will Graham Platner win between 70% and 75% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary? | No | 5 228.90 | +$0.0985 | +$515.20 | 0x54a355d8… |
| 2026-07-06 20:26:46 | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7 300.87 | +$0.6400 | +$4 672.56 | 0x5660ea1e… |
| 2026-07-06 20:26:41 | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50.00 | +$0.6300 | +$31.50 | 0x8887e103… |
| 2026-07-06 19:29:35 | BUY | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | No | 59.90 | +$0.6000 | +$35.94 | 0x0a054083… |
| 2026-07-06 11:40:44 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | No | 15 055.26 | +$0.8930 | +$13 444.09 | 0x88a0484b… |
| 2026-07-06 11:36:20 | SELL | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 45 730.50 | +$0.9990 | +$45 684.77 | 0x127a3256… |
| 2026-07-06 10:39:37 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 7 024.85 | +$0.0869 | +$610.57 | 0xe4df2536… |
| 2026-07-06 01:58:25 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | No | 12 538.97 | +$0.9689 | +$12 148.76 | 0x9515634c… |
| 2026-07-06 01:58:16 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | No | 2 679.46 | +$0.9576 | +$2 565.79 | 0x1cb84af3… |
| 2026-07-06 01:51:07 | SELL | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 20 000.00 | +$0.9990 | +$19 980.00 | 0xeeb2ac2e… |
| 2026-07-05 19:51:46 | BUY | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 9 462.52 | +$0.6027 | +$5 703.28 | 0x4f17008b… |
| 2026-07-05 19:17:34 | BUY | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 22 474.16 | +$0.5751 | +$12 924.48 | 0x7f481114… |
| 2026-07-05 19:09:23 | SELL | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 17 651.17 | +$0.9990 | +$17 633.52 | 0xc1893563… |
| 2026-07-05 19:01:05 | BUY | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 23 793.82 | +$0.5449 | +$12 965.37 | 0x8c82ef5b… |
| 2026-07-05 18:57:26 | BUY | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4? | No | 1 436.22 | +$0.4800 | +$689.39 | 0x62368bc5… |
| 2026-07-05 13:02:02 | BUY | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 399.12 | +$0.1422 | +$2 047.79 | 0x08c1978b… |
| 2026-07-05 13:01:53 | BUY | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 548.72 | +$0.1200 | +$665.85 | 0xd37d732b… |
| 2026-07-05 12:01:43 | BUY | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 986.77 | +$0.1460 | +$3 063.04 | 0x44bd36ac… |
| 2026-07-05 12:01:20 | BUY | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 41 544.77 | +$0.1285 | +$5 338.42 | 0x6a71906d… |
| 2026-07-05 10:10:02 | BUY | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | No | 2 057.00 | +$0.9930 | +$2 042.60 | 0xe764bf19… |
| 2026-07-05 09:46:34 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 6 238.26 | +$0.9792 | +$6 108.74 | 0xe6214747… |
| 2026-07-05 09:41:05 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 4 948.39 | +$0.1610 | +$796.69 | 0xe004241b… |
| 2026-07-05 09:33:52 | BUY | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 14 251.11 | +$0.7398 | +$10 543.57 | 0xf777df43… |
| 2026-07-05 09:20:23 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | No | 3 800.85 | +$0.9860 | +$3 747.64 | 0x2bfe0e95… |
| 2026-07-05 09:17:38 | BUY | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | No | 18 885.99 | +$0.9744 | +$18 402.72 | 0x25811293… |
| 2026-07-05 09:13:56 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 22 631.31 | +$0.0354 | +$800.81 | 0xaaa3a557… |
| 2026-07-04 23:07:38 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 6 201.77 | +$0.1452 | +$900.56 | 0xbef6ef91… |
| 2026-07-04 23:07:32 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 4 955.25 | +$0.1495 | +$740.79 | 0x952d83a2… |
| 2026-07-04 23:07:11 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 2 829.79 | +$0.1181 | +$334.08 | 0x21be4c17… |
| 2026-07-04 22:17:20 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 161.93 | +$0.0550 | +$8.91 | 0x3d98e0bc… |
| 2026-07-04 21:44:10 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Yes | 3 668.32 | +$0.4500 | +$1 650.74 | 0x9e9cf2a3… |
| 2026-07-04 21:43:43 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 39 670.12 | +$0.0360 | +$1 429.35 | 0xebde32ab… |
| 2026-07-04 16:45:31 | BUY | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 4 343.73 | +$0.7100 | +$3 084.05 | 0x07d81a28… |
| 2026-07-04 16:42:13 | BUY | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1 527.54 | +$0.1270 | +$194.00 | 0x7ec5dba8… |
| 2026-07-04 10:36:23 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 37 232.87 | +$0.1838 | +$6 843.74 | 0xdd463b3e… |
| 2026-07-04 10:33:04 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 1 511.79 | +$0.1262 | +$190.86 | 0xddecc7a7… |
| 2026-07-04 10:14:34 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 5 597.79 | +$0.8793 | +$4 922.30 | 0x637df9d2… |
| 2026-07-04 10:07:41 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | No | 8 216.53 | +$0.9795 | +$8 048.48 | 0xe37530b2… |
| 2026-07-04 09:36:28 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 2 322.58 | +$0.0698 | +$162.02 | 0x41f17616… |
| 2026-07-03 23:10:08 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 6 857.74 | +$0.0939 | +$643.77 | 0xb926c83d… |
| 2026-07-03 23:05:16 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 1 079.05 | +$0.0689 | +$74.39 | 0x3e4d12c9… |
| 2026-07-03 23:02:16 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 1 027.50 | +$0.0536 | +$55.05 | 0x561c975c… |
| 2026-07-03 23:01:56 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 2 145.00 | +$0.0597 | +$128.05 | 0x8b27165a… |
| 2026-07-03 22:47:07 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 1 741.98 | +$0.0529 | +$92.06 | 0xbf660682… |
| 2026-07-03 21:55:40 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 3 894.50 | +$0.1500 | +$584.18 | 0x313ffeb2… |
| 2026-07-03 21:53:05 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 3 449.99 | +$0.1975 | +$681.25 | 0xf23e61f2… |
| 2026-07-03 21:35:20 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 1 161.99 | +$0.1495 | +$173.76 | 0x4f5853c6… |
| 2026-07-03 20:32:41 | BUY | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | No | 8 102.98 | +$0.9300 | +$7 535.77 | 0xb6ccc9f8… |
| 2026-07-03 20:32:34 | BUY | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | No | 211.00 | +$0.9200 | +$194.12 | 0xc4951d8d… |
| 2026-07-03 19:35:50 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 9 445.50 | +$0.7890 | +$7 452.50 | 0x17bf3f9e… |
| 2026-07-03 19:22:47 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 12 283.66 | +$0.2960 | +$3 635.53 | 0x0636c30c… |
| 2026-07-03 19:19:58 | SELL | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 2 956.80 | +$0.2918 | +$862.67 | 0x2399d642… |
| 2026-07-03 19:11:19 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 6 361.52 | +$0.0508 | +$323.15 | 0xafd9398d… |
| 2026-07-03 19:02:25 | SELL | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 46 443.54 | +$0.9845 | +$45 722.92 | 0x88111971… |
| 2026-07-03 18:52:56 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 4 953.44 | +$0.8996 | +$4 455.90 | 0x6c62ecc8… |
| 2026-07-03 18:46:31 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 8 855.70 | +$0.8476 | +$7 505.90 | 0x37eae585… |
| 2026-07-03 18:31:58 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 9 809.69 | +$0.8379 | +$8 219.17 | 0xbe1ed56b… |
| 2026-07-03 18:28:17 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 8 652.78 | +$0.8123 | +$7 028.51 | 0xbc8021ee… |
| 2026-07-03 18:26:07 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 9 417.11 | +$0.8095 | +$7 623.18 | 0x749f8737… |
| 2026-07-03 11:53:38 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 3 553.04 | +$0.8400 | +$2 984.55 | 0x81a57c78… |
| 2026-07-03 10:35:19 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | No | 4 588.34 | +$0.7600 | +$3 487.14 | 0x306cc78a… |
| 2026-07-03 10:13:23 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 11 671.12 | +$0.0892 | +$1 040.96 | 0x5e79e053… |
| 2026-07-03 10:03:47 | SELL | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Yes | 97 424.56 | +$0.0491 | +$4 780.72 | 0x121ed3f9… |
| 2026-07-03 10:03:32 | SELL | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | Yes | 29 999.99 | +$0.1006 | +$3 017.79 | 0x3f30b808… |
| 2026-07-03 09:27:58 | SELL | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 194 006.01 | +$0.0057 | +$1 102.92 | 0x4ee018ac… |
| 2026-07-03 09:20:35 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 3 399.99 | +$0.1688 | +$574.00 | 0x84d5cde2… |
| 2026-07-03 09:10:56 | SELL | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 10 209.99 | +$0.9830 | +$10 036.42 | 0xe02b1108… |
| 2026-07-03 09:10:52 | SELL | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 27 994.26 | +$0.9841 | +$27 549.66 | 0xbdd95092… |
| 2026-07-03 09:09:35 | BUY | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Yes | 20 500.00 | +$0.0900 | +$1 845.00 | 0xeccbfcdf… |
| 2026-07-03 08:18:41 | BUY | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 5 990.08 | +$0.0130 | +$77.87 | 0x868aaf57… |
| 2026-07-03 08:18:31 | BUY | Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 224.66 | +$0.0120 | +$2.70 | 0xb3bb6e9e… |
| 2026-07-03 08:17:55 | BUY | Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 315.00 | +$0.0030 | +$0.95 | 0xaf377560… |
| 2026-07-03 08:15:20 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | No | 32 531.57 | +$0.9697 | +$31 545.73 | 0x23d83beb… |
| 2026-07-02 15:43:53 | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 6.00 | +$0.0110 | +$0.07 | 0xd84bf617… |
| 2026-07-02 15:33:38 | BUY | Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 1 118.37 | +$0.0106 | +$11.80 | 0x7280d75b… |
| 2026-07-02 15:33:26 | BUY | Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 2 456.24 | +$0.0136 | +$33.50 | 0xdd473670… |
| 2026-07-02 15:32:59 | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 6 290.98 | +$0.0140 | +$87.85 | 0xb4b9a289… |
| 2026-07-02 15:32:41 | BUY | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 2 832.14 | +$0.0155 | +$44.01 | 0x15cfcd23… |
| 2026-07-02 15:29:44 | BUY | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 935.51 | +$0.0140 | +$13.10 | 0xe92397e2… |
| 2026-07-02 15:29:22 | BUY | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 280.00 | +$0.0120 | +$3.36 | 0xd304a635… |
| 2026-07-02 15:28:17 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | No | 4 812.19 | +$0.9500 | +$4 571.58 | 0x30e6aba1… |
| 2026-07-02 15:11:13 | BUY | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | No | 1 156.54 | +$0.9000 | +$1 040.89 | 0xa2228c7b… |
| 2026-07-02 15:09:58 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 6.11 | +$0.1000 | +$0.61 | 0xf320ea74… |
| 2026-07-02 12:53:50 | BUY | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 194 006.01 | +$0.0070 | +$1 358.04 | 0x301cc376… |
| 2026-07-02 12:29:44 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | No | 2 705.91 | +$0.0999 | +$270.37 | 0x5702d0c7… |
| 2026-07-02 11:35:22 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 8 272.48 | +$0.0148 | +$122.52 | 0x87f70c24… |
| 2026-07-02 11:27:58 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 4 214.86 | +$0.2373 | +$1 000.18 | 0x966726f9… |
| 2026-07-02 10:57:04 | BUY | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1 229.80 | +$0.0030 | +$3.69 | 0x92b1996f… |
| 2026-07-01 22:03:40 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 4 089.98 | +$0.9500 | +$3 885.48 | 0xf8176fb0… |
| 2026-07-01 20:36:47 | SELL | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 2 352.77 | +$0.0287 | +$67.57 | 0xea99b646… |
| 2026-07-01 19:46:37 | SELL | Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 1 582.86 | +$0.0060 | +$9.50 | 0x0efc763b… |
| 2026-07-01 19:42:41 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 3 347.19 | +$0.9960 | +$3 333.80 | 0xf247379b… |
| 2026-07-01 19:05:31 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 4 771.17 | +$0.0883 | +$421.06 | 0x9d45e3e5… |
| 2026-07-01 17:32:14 | BUY | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 9 536.15 | +$0.1397 | +$1 332.31 | 0x768c5256… |
| 2026-07-01 17:09:43 | BUY | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 6 974.04 | +$0.0115 | +$80.22 | 0x923d7f43… |
| 2026-07-01 15:39:19 | BUY | Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 30 000.00 | +$0.4700 | +$14 100.00 | 0xb8e9f16b… |
| 2026-07-01 15:35:41 | SELL | Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 4 358.89 | +$0.9905 | +$4 317.32 | 0xb6217a89… |
| 2026-07-01 15:34:07 | SELL | Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 378.80 | +$0.9970 | +$377.66 | 0xedd2f809… |
| 2026-07-01 15:25:34 | SELL | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1 884.87 | +$0.9990 | +$1 882.99 | 0x7067d22e… |
| 2026-07-01 15:21:10 | BUY | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 000.00 | +$0.7800 | +$78 000.00 | 0x7e8c2c15… |
| 2026-07-01 15:19:19 | SELL | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95 297.34 | +$0.1980 | +$18 868.87 | 0x33839884… |
| 2026-07-01 15:08:46 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | No | 6 249.88 | +$0.9284 | +$5 802.10 | 0x693b1aae… |
| 2026-07-01 15:07:49 | BUY | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 6 739.18 | +$0.3275 | +$2 206.87 | 0x4d83c0c7… |
| 2026-07-01 14:48:11 | BUY | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 40 946.00 | +$0.9800 | +$40 126.75 | 0x21b25a4f… |
| 2026-07-01 14:44:19 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 29 578.84 | +$0.9578 | +$28 331.86 | 0x460403c0… |
| 2026-07-01 13:46:32 | BUY | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 17 497.11 | +$0.9946 | +$17 402.78 | 0x884863a5… |
| 2026-07-01 13:23:50 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 976.81 | +$0.9500 | +$927.97 | 0xf5b6a96b… |
| 2026-06-30 20:05:40 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 1 276.23 | +$0.9200 | +$1 174.13 | 0x649945d2… |
| 2026-06-30 19:13:08 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 12 366.14 | +$0.0500 | +$618.31 | 0xe5ec345f… |
| 2026-06-30 18:44:32 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 1 493.84 | +$0.9948 | +$1 486.05 | 0xda381feb… |
| 2026-06-30 16:42:20 | BUY | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 1 876.80 | +$0.9718 | +$1 823.88 | 0xc67e445e… |
| 2026-06-30 16:37:05 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 9 591.10 | +$0.5992 | +$5 746.88 | 0x0ff9db45… |
| 2026-06-30 16:33:29 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 9 010.48 | +$0.5765 | +$5 194.97 | 0x0af8d53a… |
| 2026-06-30 16:24:50 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 60.00 | +$0.5900 | +$35.40 | 0x1a3d9dcd… |
| 2026-06-30 16:22:22 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 11 030.00 | +$0.6482 | +$7 149.19 | 0x16ee4e22… |
| 2026-06-30 16:02:01 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 949.62 | +$0.4350 | +$2 587.94 | 0x9e341544… |
| 2026-06-30 15:54:32 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 243.08 | +$0.4393 | +$1 424.52 | 0xacec2757… |
| 2026-06-30 15:32:34 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 6 572.04 | +$0.6054 | +$3 978.56 | 0x20e6b4a7… |
| 2026-06-30 15:24:25 | BUY | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 254.19 | +$0.5486 | +$1 236.64 | 0xa2e25e4c… |
| 2026-06-30 09:51:49 | SELL | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 000.00 | +$0.0060 | +$120.00 | 0x08051e43… |
| 2026-06-30 09:50:40 | SELL | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 000.00 | +$0.0050 | +$100.00 | 0x3ce153ff… |
| 2026-06-30 09:49:04 | SELL | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 20 000.00 | +$0.0080 | +$160.00 | 0x645747ee… |
| 2026-06-30 09:44:46 | BUY | Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 5 632.61 | +$0.9700 | +$5 463.63 | 0xbf0588c4… |
| 2026-06-30 09:43:17 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 5 979.33 | +$0.8790 | +$5 255.75 | 0x33d87f2e… |
| 2026-06-30 09:37:02 | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 14 355.66 | +$0.9853 | +$14 143.97 | 0xb90f521e… |
| 2026-06-30 09:10:32 | BUY | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12 796.80 | +$0.0497 | +$636.32 | 0x5b8841ed… |
| 2026-06-30 07:30:32 | BUY | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 562.23 | +$0.8500 | +$3 027.90 | 0x6d7c4edb… |
| 2026-06-30 07:18:19 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 1 742.84 | +$0.1800 | +$313.71 | 0x1a5ee7f3… |
| 2026-06-30 06:30:59 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1 638.67 | +$0.9400 | +$1 540.35 | 0x48136bd8… |
| 2026-06-30 06:28:55 | BUY | Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 5 057.18 | +$0.0039 | +$19.78 | 0x2a006350… |
| 2026-06-30 05:55:14 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 61.15 | +$0.9300 | +$56.87 | 0xa1ff8476… |
| 2026-06-30 05:48:11 | BUY | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 11 221.24 | +$0.9600 | +$10 772.39 | 0x3b452d7c… |
| 2026-06-30 05:44:52 | SELL | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 7 142.48 | +$0.0700 | +$499.97 | 0x886d6840… |
| 2026-06-30 05:34:58 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 31 190.09 | +$0.9468 | +$29 529.31 | 0x5c2bc7ab… |
| 2026-06-30 03:28:47 | BUY | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1 513.00 | +$0.1600 | +$242.08 | 0x3c733537… |
| 2026-06-30 02:55:31 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 46 721.51 | +$0.0040 | +$186.89 | 0xd12f341c… |
| 2026-06-30 02:54:25 | BUY | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3 570.50 | +$0.0030 | +$10.71 | 0x2158abe5… |
| 2026-06-30 02:48:10 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 2 731.71 | +$0.8600 | +$2 349.27 | 0xc5000b8d… |
| 2026-06-30 02:38:49 | BUY | Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 7 578.70 | +$0.9814 | +$7 437.61 | 0x6d581373… |
| 2026-06-30 02:38:32 | BUY | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 6 278.32 | +$0.9776 | +$6 137.57 | 0x8a8644fe… |
| 2026-06-30 02:29:55 | BUY | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 11 853.33 | +$0.1018 | +$1 206.67 | 0x0ba146e1… |
| 2026-06-30 02:24:10 | BUY | Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 572.16 | +$0.0100 | +$5.72 | 0x09284274… |
| 2026-06-30 02:23:23 | BUY | Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 3 488.38 | +$0.0100 | +$34.88 | 0x4aa89268… |
| 2026-06-30 02:22:26 | BUY | Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 7 544.02 | +$0.0100 | +$75.44 | 0x3527a261… |
| 2026-06-30 02:22:19 | BUY | Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 466.80 | +$0.0100 | +$4.67 | 0x53d7d213… |
| 2026-06-30 02:21:38 | BUY | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 14 789.78 | +$0.9497 | +$14 045.99 | 0x6b31f029… |
| 2026-06-30 02:21:17 | BUY | Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 24 054.02 | +$0.9493 | +$22 835.54 | 0x277f355b… |
| 2026-06-30 02:20:22 | BUY | Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 26 868.53 | +$0.9434 | +$25 346.62 | 0xa9313ef9… |
| 2026-06-30 02:17:28 | BUY | Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 1 345.41 | +$0.9692 | +$1 304.01 | 0x378f20eb… |
| 2026-06-30 02:17:14 | BUY | Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 1 360.10 | +$0.9729 | +$1 323.26 | 0x87baa2f7… |
| 2026-06-30 02:16:52 | BUY | Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 3 232.31 | +$0.9630 | +$3 112.68 | 0x231ef3bb… |
| 2026-06-30 02:16:31 | BUY | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 416.10 | +$0.9574 | +$398.39 | 0x411694a2… |
| 2026-06-30 02:15:56 | BUY | Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | No | 3 669.00 | +$0.9678 | +$3 550.97 | 0x4a6adeb7… |
| 2026-06-30 01:28:14 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 230 598.04 | +$0.0053 | +$1 222.63 | 0x05613a7b… |
| 2026-06-30 00:15:32 | BUY | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 24.34 | +$0.7100 | +$17.28 | 0xd3609b07… |
| 2026-06-29 23:44:44 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 8 151.40 | +$0.2200 | +$1 793.31 | 0xedd52709… |
| 2026-06-29 21:12:43 | BUY | Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | Yes | 12 852.97 | +$0.2283 | +$2 933.74 | 0x88d2430d… |
| 2026-06-29 21:12:35 | BUY | Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01? | No | 6 449.07 | +$0.2300 | +$1 483.29 | 0x8dda3d1b… |
| 2026-06-27 16:34:34 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 5 270.89 | +$0.2600 | +$1 370.43 | 0xb417d4e9… |
| 2026-06-27 16:34:20 | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 14 986.30 | +$0.4538 | +$6 800.59 | 0x5d24270f… |
| 2026-06-27 05:25:40 | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 19 702.67 | +$0.0694 | +$1 366.91 | 0xa89d8fa2… |
| 2026-06-26 17:56:07 | BUY | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3 245.00 | +$0.1600 | +$519.06 | 0x35a0c653… |
| 2026-06-26 17:37:41 | BUY | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 14 127.46 | +$0.0800 | +$1 130.20 | 0xe30a3727… |
| 2026-06-26 17:37:31 | BUY | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 26 928.46 | +$0.0674 | +$1 814.66 | 0x7ed938f3… |
| 2026-06-26 17:36:22 | BUY | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 18 170.94 | +$0.0134 | +$243.82 | 0xc11e61ed… |
| 2026-06-26 17:34:04 | BUY | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 37 271.42 | +$0.9600 | +$35 780.56 | 0xca7caaa0… |
| 2026-06-26 17:28:38 | BUY | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 11 679.80 | +$0.4495 | +$5 249.92 | 0x4fa30c00… |
| 2026-06-26 15:46:11 | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 11 116.64 | +$0.0864 | +$960.17 | 0x520203b6… |
| 2026-06-26 09:19:28 | BUY | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 12 031.77 | +$0.7000 | +$8 422.24 | 0x2c91c758… |
| 2026-06-26 09:18:13 | BUY | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 52 551.96 | +$0.1278 | +$6 717.03 | 0x0490eda0… |
| 2026-06-26 08:00:31 | BUY | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 574.17 | +$0.1754 | +$977.85 | 0x7dd9d84d… |
| 2026-06-26 07:39:08 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 4 466.56 | +$0.1327 | +$592.65 | 0x1de79533… |
| 2026-06-26 07:38:43 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 23 290.77 | +$0.0922 | +$2 146.34 | 0x6e5e5a3f… |
| 2026-06-26 07:38:29 | BUY | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31? | No | 909.25 | +$0.0433 | +$39.38 | 0x35b6cdee… |
| 2026-06-26 07:29:43 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 85.00 | +$0.2200 | +$18.70 | 0x13fd0bd5… |
| 2026-06-25 15:21:26 | BUY | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 3 510.00 | +$0.5000 | +$1 755.00 | 0x87ce8253… |
| 2026-06-25 11:50:35 | BUY | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 8 781.48 | +$0.0926 | +$812.73 | 0x5aff9415… |
| 2026-06-25 10:43:23 | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 54 756.68 | +$0.0944 | +$5 171.00 | 0x5ce83246… |
| 2026-06-25 10:37:11 | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 81 743.78 | +$0.0697 | +$5 700.73 | 0xf29eadc1… |
| 2026-06-25 10:35:07 | BUY | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | 14 750.81 | +$0.5187 | +$7 651.08 | 0xe4deb6e3… |
| 2026-06-24 23:51:23 | BUY | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 2 800.00 | +$0.7200 | +$2 016.00 | 0x7d7b91e8… |
| 2026-06-24 20:33:26 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? | No | 5 258.27 | +$0.9856 | +$5 182.50 | 0x29da4f35… |
| 2026-06-24 20:32:31 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | No | 10 605.63 | +$0.9766 | +$10 357.07 | 0xb13cece0… |
| 2026-06-24 20:32:10 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 627.86 | +$0.2672 | +$167.76 | 0xa6aa8ffd… |
| 2026-06-24 20:32:01 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 8 871.76 | +$0.3527 | +$3 128.87 | 0xcc8a57a4… |
| 2026-06-24 20:28:23 | BUY | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | Yes | 256.19 | +$0.2408 | +$61.69 | 0x88dfbd0d… |
| 2026-06-24 19:11:29 | BUY | Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | No | 148.84 | +$0.9923 | +$147.70 | 0x2f5a5594… |
| 2026-06-24 19:11:22 | BUY | Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | No | 293.83 | +$0.9936 | +$291.95 | 0x1f47d63a… |
| 2026-06-24 19:11:16 | BUY | Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | No | 120.00 | +$0.9898 | +$118.78 | 0x0dc21a59… |
| 2026-06-24 10:01:17 | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 421.00 | +$0.2460 | +$1 333.57 | 0xfbf9ad83… |
| 2026-06-24 10:00:07 | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12 940.91 | +$0.2450 | +$3 170.45 | 0x988c76f5… |
| 2026-06-24 09:55:02 | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17 271.49 | +$0.2430 | +$4 196.97 | 0x9d102a53… |
| 2026-06-24 09:53:35 | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 59 656.02 | +$0.2410 | +$14 378.95 | 0x3feed031… |