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ProfessionalPunter

0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Профиль на Polymarket X
Общий PnL+$190 990.82Реализованный: +$350 620.90 · Нереализованный: -$159 630.08
Открытая стоимость+$202 059.02Текущая стоимость открытых позиций
ROI+14.14%Доходность по имеющимся данным
Win rate+100.00%Доля прибыльных закрытых сделок
Сделки за 30 дней126Недавняя активность трейдера
Месяцев активности6Первая сделка: 2026-02-06 07:35:07
Объём+$15 642 867.31Совокупный объём торговли
Динамика+$190 990.8224 ч · +$190 990.82 · +$190 990.82

Кривая капитала

Открытые позиции

Текущие рынки и результат по ним.
Рынок Исход Объём Средняя цена Текущая цена Нереализованный PnL
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 19 280.24 +$0.9892 +$0.9970 +$150.35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? No 9 267.77 +$0.8222 +$0.9855 +$1 512.91
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? Yes 10 375.46 +$0.8491 +$0.8260 -$240.41
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 2 302.05 +$0.3411 +$0.8250 +$1 113.85
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 6 764.56 +$0.6766 +$0.2500 -$2 886.24
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 4 431.72 +$0.2400 +$0.1350 -$465.33
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 1 512.41 +$0.2600 +$0.2450 -$22.69
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes 1 173.63 +$0.2447 +$0.2150 -$34.94
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? Yes 2 000.00 +$0.0810 +$0.1230 +$84.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 156 034.32 +$0.8094 +$0.0015 -$126 069.65
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? Yes 216.72 +$0.9330 +$0.9950 +$13.44
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes 709.29 +$0.5099 +$0.2700 -$170.18
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 290.55 +$0.5000 +$0.5750 +$21.79
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 544.58 +$0.7579 +$0.1350 -$339.22
Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 81.55 +$0.7400 +$0.7400 +$0.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 1 334.57 +$0.0978 +$0.0380 -$79.85
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes 738.34 +$0.1240 +$0.0515 -$53.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Yes 1 572.75 +$0.5317 +$0.0175 -$808.79
Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections? No 15.69 +$0.9810 +$0.9995 +$0.29
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes 92.58 +$0.2774 +$0.1450 -$12.27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No 1 000.09 +$0.9244 +$0.0115 -$913.08
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 15.00 +$0.2900 +$0.7500 +$6.90
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 3 189.63 +$0.3064 +$0.0020 -$971.14
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 4 999.98 +$0.0204 +$0.0010 -$97.04
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 6.18 +$0.8499 +$0.7100 -$0.86
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No 10.12 +$0.6313 +$0.2400 -$3.96
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 10.00 +$0.8100 +$0.1400 -$6.70
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes 1.60 +$0.5000 +$0.3550 -$0.23
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 8.67 +$0.9400 $0.0000 -$8.15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026? No 999.94 +$0.0800 $0.0000 -$80.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026? No 999.97 +$0.0800 $0.0000 -$80.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? No 999.97 +$0.0800 $0.0000 -$80.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026? No 999.98 +$0.0800 $0.0000 -$80.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? No 999.99 +$0.0800 $0.0000 -$80.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? Yes 1 500.03 +$0.2220 $0.0000 -$333.01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? Yes 1 999.99 +$0.9540 $0.0000 -$1 907.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 18 560.78 +$0.1087 $0.0000 -$2 018.13
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? No 10 627.36 +$0.5608 $0.0000 -$5 960.41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No 29 999.91 +$0.5822 $0.0000 -$17 468.23

История закрытых позиций

Последние закрытые позиции трейдера.
Дата Рынок Исход Средняя цена Объём PnL
2026-06-24 19:52:55 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No +$0.8740 119 166.30 +$15 012.33
2026-06-19 04:59:29 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes +$0.4105 104 008.48 +$61 311.02
2026-06-10 10:41:13 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes +$0.7609 199 323.17 +$21 174.13
2026-05-27 06:10:45 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No +$0.8256 129 566.30 +$14 857.85
2026-05-09 17:02:36 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Yes +$0.7461 89 999.98 +$22 850.46
2026-03-31 20:36:17 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Yes +$0.3336 25 439.75 +$16 953.94
2026-03-04 20:21:47 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Yes +$0.4303 192 982.63 +$83 270.68
2026-03-04 01:45:47 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Yes +$0.7979 116 528.20 +$22 663.97
2025-12-17 07:05:41 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? No +$0.0600 109 339.51 +$46 761.32
2025-10-21 19:48:45 OpenAI browser by October 31? Yes +$0.4991 61 486.72 +$24 227.79

История сделок

Последние 200 сделок трейдера.
Время Сторона Рынок Исход Объём Цена Сумма Tx
2026-07-06 01:16:26 BUY Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance England 24 093.63 +$0.5200 +$12 528.69 0xe2696f39…
2026-07-03 20:18:41 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? Yes 875.48 +$0.9259 +$810.59 0x66e6b6c2…
2026-07-03 16:07:05 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes 447.08 +$0.0242 +$10.80 0x0469d681…
2026-07-03 16:06:47 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 125.00 +$0.0100 +$1.25 0xfc596064…
2026-07-03 16:06:44 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100.00 +$0.0120 +$1.20 0x6664fc73…
2026-07-03 16:06:41 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 50.00 +$0.0150 +$0.75 0x3aa1d730…
2026-07-03 16:06:40 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100.00 +$0.0170 +$1.70 0xc73d8f98…
2026-07-03 16:06:37 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 30.00 +$0.0180 +$0.54 0x833e713e…
2026-07-03 16:06:32 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 45.00 +$0.0200 +$0.90 0xa6fdc350…
2026-07-03 16:06:26 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 150.00 +$0.0220 +$3.30 0xe56940c3…
2026-07-03 16:06:25 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 45.00 +$0.0250 +$1.13 0x322475d6…
2026-07-03 16:06:20 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100.00 +$0.0270 +$2.70 0xe185715b…
2026-07-03 16:06:08 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes 999.89 +$0.0378 +$37.80 0xc3fcc70e…
2026-07-03 16:05:59 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 235.43 +$0.0430 +$10.12 0x045a8cbb…
2026-07-03 16:05:50 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 562.00 +$0.0460 +$25.83 0x99d3fd9d…
2026-07-03 16:05:46 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 151.18 +$0.0551 +$8.33 0xec5eae28…
2026-07-03 16:05:41 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100.10 +$0.0640 +$6.41 0xfbee229a…
2026-07-03 16:05:38 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 11.18 +$0.0660 +$0.74 0xfe897fb5…
2026-07-03 16:05:01 SELL Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 6 582.57 +$0.0800 +$526.61 0xf560bc63…
2026-07-03 00:40:19 BUY Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? No 8.39 +$0.4900 +$4.11 0x867805ff…
2026-07-01 15:14:52 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 951.12 +$0.9940 +$945.41 0xdbece16d…
2026-07-01 15:14:47 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 95.04 +$0.9930 +$94.37 0xf5d5d762…
2026-07-01 15:00:55 BUY Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 6 179.05 +$0.9980 +$6 166.69 0x24658011…
2026-07-01 12:12:58 BUY Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 2 057.48 +$0.3497 +$719.46 0x7982c06d…
2026-07-01 12:11:40 BUY Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes 0.19 +$0.5000 +$0.10 0xa471ce64…
2026-07-01 12:11:25 BUY Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 90.50 +$0.5000 +$45.25 0xbe3fcbce…
2026-07-01 12:06:44 BUY Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 10.00 +$0.8100 +$8.10 0x03c37d47…
2026-07-01 12:05:59 BUY Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 94.86 +$0.7400 +$70.20 0x2d8f431f…
2026-07-01 12:04:46 BUY Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 200.24 +$0.5000 +$100.12 0xd9dc3d89…
2026-07-01 12:04:29 BUY Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 15.00 +$0.2900 +$4.35 0xf48cffb9…
2026-07-01 12:04:16 BUY Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 59.98 +$0.2900 +$17.39 0xb81179a9…
2026-07-01 12:04:11 BUY Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No 25.00 +$0.2800 +$7.00 0x90d59536…
2026-06-30 19:22:05 BUY Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 75.00 +$0.9100 +$68.25 0xa7c8fe0b…
2026-06-30 01:04:40 BUY Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 19 198.10 +$0.7933 +$15 229.22 0xcadb01b6…
2026-06-28 18:12:55 BUY Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 100.00 +$0.9750 +$97.50 0x7f73c3a0…
2026-06-27 20:57:25 BUY Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No 1 111.00 +$0.9620 +$1 068.78 0x37f1c503…
2026-06-26 20:51:16 BUY Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 26, 2026? No 179.00 +$0.9964 +$178.36 0x6f86b120…
2026-06-26 20:51:13 BUY Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 26, 2026? No 100.00 +$0.9960 +$99.60 0x31f71b21…
2026-06-25 15:02:55 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Yes 3 984.64 +$0.5500 +$2 191.44 0xb9e9dc80…
2026-06-25 15:02:50 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Yes 727.02 +$0.5332 +$387.65 0xa58a2b27…
2026-06-25 14:52:31 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Yes 2 285.25 +$0.5300 +$1 211.18 0xc86e359d…
2026-06-25 14:52:26 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? Yes 1 374.95 +$0.5200 +$714.97 0xd84e1224…
2026-06-25 13:48:40 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 471.25 +$0.4499 +$212.02 0x180e9293…
2026-06-25 13:48:37 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 1 455.66 +$0.4500 +$655.05 0x1f87edc2…
2026-06-25 13:48:34 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 299.33 +$0.4600 +$137.69 0x84e38164…
2026-06-25 13:48:31 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 3 309.77 +$0.4713 +$1 559.90 0x1614760f…
2026-06-25 13:48:26 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 148.48 +$0.5000 +$74.24 0x7115b803…
2026-06-25 13:48:23 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 10.00 +$0.5100 +$5.10 0x3b5d2e53…
2026-06-25 13:48:19 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 211.71 +$0.5100 +$107.97 0x8747ddf1…
2026-06-25 12:07:58 SELL Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? No 1 365.04 +$0.5700 +$778.07 0x986134ee…
2026-06-25 03:09:49 BUY Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 4 797.32 +$0.2370 +$1 136.96 0x7f56714a…
2026-06-24 21:33:55 BUY Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 2 164.89 +$0.2340 +$506.51 0x75382080…
2026-06-24 21:30:49 BUY Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 399.99 +$0.2340 +$93.60 0xbcbbf376…
2026-06-24 21:30:43 BUY Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 253.44 +$0.2330 +$59.05 0x3916eba2…
2026-06-24 21:26:34 BUY Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 368.31 +$0.2320 +$85.45 0xd136a931…
2026-06-20 15:21:37 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 8 883.37 +$0.9200 +$8 172.70 0xcd8b72ef…
2026-06-19 22:10:11 BUY Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 14 166.74 +$0.8900 +$12 608.40 0xca695e8f…
2026-06-19 21:03:01 BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 6 764.56 +$0.6767 +$4 577.38 0x2a43fdd6…
2026-06-19 21:02:44 BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? No 10 949.50 +$0.8200 +$8 978.38 0x550411f0…
2026-06-19 21:01:34 BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 1 885.36 +$0.9200 +$1 734.53 0x1f51e45d…
2026-06-19 21:01:29 BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 10.98 +$0.9100 +$9.99 0x48a3de52…
2026-06-19 02:12:17 BUY Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 3 579.51 +$0.9985 +$3 574.19 0xc65c86be…
2026-06-19 02:12:05 BUY Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 250.00 +$0.9990 +$249.75 0xee895e6a…
2026-06-19 02:11:59 BUY Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 210.00 +$0.9990 +$209.79 0x8d488119…
2026-06-19 02:10:22 BUY Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 2 520.92 +$0.9990 +$2 518.40 0x556eac8c…
2026-06-19 02:09:32 BUY Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 700.00 +$0.9980 +$698.60 0x06e4d400…
2026-06-18 20:32:08 BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes 1 000.00 +$0.6100 +$610.00 0x5d514201…
2026-06-18 13:11:32 BUY Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 36 742.46 +$0.9960 +$36 595.49 0x0b357cc2…
2026-06-17 01:19:14 SELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 3 020.00 +$0.3500 +$1 057.00 0x2b2655a5…
2026-06-14 17:31:30 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 7 502.62 +$0.7410 +$5 559.25 0x2bb1b549…
2026-06-14 17:26:39 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 255.55 +$0.7604 +$194.31 0x5e853e18…
2026-06-14 17:18:13 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 1 999.99 +$0.7970 +$1 593.99 0x231ffc0b…
2026-06-14 17:16:57 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 20 920.00 +$0.8019 +$16 776.75 0x5bfbcdb4…
2026-06-12 21:00:25 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 2 248.03 +$0.8100 +$1 820.90 0xae7819b5…
2026-06-12 18:35:52 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 12 663.40 +$0.8000 +$10 130.72 0xf0294e01…
2026-06-12 18:35:43 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 8.00 +$0.7900 +$6.32 0xbedd800e…
2026-06-12 18:23:09 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 1 996.12 +$0.7900 +$1 576.93 0xb198ade5…
2026-06-12 18:01:48 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 4 657.94 +$0.7900 +$3 679.77 0xc12a9661…
2026-06-12 16:56:15 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 11 538.55 +$0.7900 +$9 115.45 0x8044f660…
2026-06-12 16:38:07 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 16 960.65 +$0.7998 +$13 565.18 0x943165db…
2026-06-12 16:15:28 BUY Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 1 535.86 +$0.7300 +$1 121.18 0xf70c4a5c…
2026-06-12 16:15:24 BUY Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 3 092.42 +$0.7300 +$2 257.47 0x501f1beb…
2026-06-12 03:31:22 BUY Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 10 956.35 +$0.7700 +$8 436.39 0x83fa8677…
2026-06-09 15:56:58 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 1 683.07 +$0.8200 +$1 380.12 0x5a333007…
2026-06-09 15:50:12 BUY Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550? No 5.00 +$0.6800 +$3.40 0x21dd93aa…
2026-06-09 15:38:25 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 1 303.93 +$0.8300 +$1 082.26 0xbea488c5…
2026-06-09 15:31:39 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 226.42 +$0.8453 +$191.40 0x91c265ce…
2026-06-09 15:31:33 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 113.00 +$0.8400 +$94.92 0xb0616bb9…
2026-06-09 15:31:30 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 493.88 +$0.8500 +$419.80 0x4551dfaf…
2026-06-09 15:28:49 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 476.62 +$0.8700 +$414.66 0x9720d5fe…
2026-06-09 15:28:33 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 108.00 +$0.8700 +$93.96 0xc4b11634…
2026-06-09 15:28:28 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 13.73 +$0.8700 +$11.95 0x9b960886…
2026-06-09 15:28:13 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 80.00 +$0.8700 +$69.60 0x63647dd7…
2026-06-09 15:26:19 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? Yes 76.44 +$0.9790 +$74.83 0xe08becda…
2026-06-09 15:26:06 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Yes 40.43 +$0.9400 +$38.00 0x256784a2…
2026-06-09 15:15:36 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 6 585.93 +$0.9890 +$6 513.48 0x2f3879d5…
2026-06-09 15:13:04 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? Yes 272.75 +$0.9200 +$250.93 0xef872f85…
2026-06-09 15:12:33 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 265.34 +$0.9657 +$256.24 0x796b37fe…
2026-06-09 15:12:27 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 445.34 +$0.9600 +$427.53 0xb5f25d3f…
2026-06-09 15:12:22 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? Yes 853.44 +$0.9585 +$817.99 0x98882d72…
2026-06-09 15:10:01 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 66.00 +$0.8700 +$57.42 0x72895af4…
2026-06-09 15:09:24 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Yes 527.42 +$0.9100 +$479.95 0x2ef8b5a5…
2026-06-09 15:09:16 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Yes 207.68 +$0.9379 +$194.79 0xdf7f431e…
2026-06-09 15:09:04 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 53.44 +$0.8526 +$45.56 0xbfddada2…
2026-06-09 15:08:57 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 752.70 +$0.8460 +$636.81 0xaf4e2f6b…
2026-06-09 15:05:15 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 694.15 +$0.8000 +$555.32 0xac2ae89d…
2026-06-09 15:05:07 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? Yes 613.10 +$0.8461 +$518.72 0xe9c786d2…
2026-06-09 15:04:55 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Yes 852.33 +$0.7829 +$667.33 0xda52c9dc…
2026-06-09 14:57:13 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? Yes 93.30 +$0.9695 +$90.45 0xfd047046…
2026-06-09 14:56:33 BUY Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026? Yes 8.00 +$0.9300 +$7.44 0x17ac515a…
2026-06-09 00:46:24 BUY Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026? No 124.41 +$0.6641 +$82.62 0xc9f8886b…
2026-06-08 18:02:34 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 6 612.40 +$0.7700 +$5 091.55 0x095c53ba…
2026-06-08 17:25:09 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 12 241.49 +$0.8000 +$9 793.19 0x8e6eebe9…
2026-06-08 16:33:48 BUY Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 4 184.49 +$0.7594 +$3 177.76 0xac779137…
2026-06-08 16:33:19 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 780.00 +$0.7700 +$600.60 0xb3570ffe…
2026-06-08 16:31:57 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 10 636.89 +$0.7600 +$8 084.04 0xc791b780…
2026-06-08 16:03:24 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 10.39 +$0.7400 +$7.69 0x4d1f9824…
2026-06-08 15:59:33 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 3 199.03 +$0.7200 +$2 303.30 0xe36bc70f…
2026-06-08 15:40:18 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 14.00 +$0.6900 +$9.66 0x6a12e2a5…
2026-06-08 14:53:10 BUY Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 1 005.00 +$0.7040 +$707.51 0x1b0b59dd…
2026-06-08 14:51:33 BUY Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 5 541.15 +$0.6983 +$3 869.24 0xc752eda9…
2026-06-08 14:51:09 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 1 322.41 +$0.7000 +$925.69 0x1c165bde…
2026-06-08 14:51:01 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2 027.97 +$0.6900 +$1 399.30 0xd60065db…
2026-06-08 14:50:48 BUY Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 9 974.11 +$0.6861 +$6 843.08 0x629268f7…
2026-06-08 14:50:04 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 9 332.00 +$0.6900 +$6 439.08 0x6caca98f…
2026-06-07 21:34:49 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 1 000.00 +$0.5705 +$570.54 0xe81a1fcb…
2026-06-05 01:09:55 SELL Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 8 535.99 +$0.5900 +$5 036.23 0xeb828d38…
2026-06-05 00:55:18 SELL Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 41 251.42 +$0.6065 +$25 020.10 0x87a2ea4d…
2026-06-05 00:50:12 SELL Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 3 622.92 +$0.6200 +$2 246.21 0x6984cec9…
2026-06-04 23:09:55 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 1 279.85 +$0.7200 +$921.49 0x33c017f1…
2026-06-04 23:09:36 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 647.61 +$0.7200 +$466.28 0x88cf0fe0…
2026-06-04 23:09:30 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 615.61 +$0.7200 +$443.24 0xf8c6b0a1…
2026-06-04 23:09:25 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 1 880.64 +$0.7200 +$1 354.06 0x0da3f027…
2026-06-04 23:09:22 BUY Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 821.41 +$0.7100 +$583.20 0x33bbb50c…
2026-06-04 18:14:42 BUY Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 752.67 +$0.7789 +$586.23 0xf726e5ef…
2026-06-04 18:10:13 BUY Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes 5.00 +$0.3400 +$1.70 0xe3be87ee…
2026-06-04 18:09:27 BUY Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No 12.90 +$0.6200 +$8.00 0x58103c60…
2026-06-04 18:09:21 BUY Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? No 12.90 +$0.6200 +$8.00 0x263a22d3…
2026-06-04 12:56:16 SELL BNB Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 5.00 +$0.8100 +$4.05 0x19b8abb1…
2026-06-04 12:55:37 BUY BNB Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 5.00 +$0.7500 +$3.75 0x6096ae0c…
2026-06-04 12:53:19 SELL Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 5.00 +$0.8000 +$4.00 0xc7a57830…
2026-06-04 12:53:07 BUY Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 5.00 +$0.7500 +$3.75 0x9f0836b8…
2026-06-03 05:17:31 BUY MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No 5 000.00 +$0.9970 +$4 985.00 0x58a802c8…
2026-06-01 22:33:50 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4 232.69 +$0.7700 +$3 259.17 0xa42c9ed1…
2026-06-01 15:35:23 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 43.88 +$0.7200 +$31.59 0x74818982…
2026-05-29 20:54:53 BUY Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes 1 281.47 +$0.9940 +$1 273.78 0xf9af4af0…
2026-05-29 20:54:41 BUY Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes 140.88 +$0.9930 +$139.89 0x371bb381…
2026-05-29 02:12:09 BUY Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes 132.15 +$0.9910 +$130.96 0xf5b5a162…
2026-05-28 20:38:55 BUY Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520? No 10.00 +$0.9500 +$9.50 0xc46fdd13…
2026-05-28 20:36:56 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 27? No 55.97 +$0.9960 +$55.75 0xc3c006ec…
2026-05-28 15:25:07 SELL Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 19.14 +$0.6626 +$12.68 0x99a8d88b…
2026-05-28 15:24:58 SELL Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 5.03 +$0.6900 +$3.47 0x3c8d9f9b…
2026-05-28 15:24:42 SELL Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 13.00 +$0.8100 +$10.53 0xdb89c79a…
2026-05-28 03:47:21 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 112.82 +$0.9930 +$112.03 0xedb948c5…
2026-05-28 02:41:33 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 3 026.63 +$0.3500 +$1 059.32 0xf302c91c…
2026-05-27 23:21:46 BUY Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 30.00 +$0.9400 +$28.20 0xab4aa7a6…
2026-05-27 23:20:17 BUY Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 19.80 +$0.8300 +$16.43 0xc0f05b30…
2026-05-27 23:19:19 SELL Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes 11 543.30 +$0.9950 +$11 485.58 0xb9862ecb…
2026-05-27 23:02:52 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 427.38 +$0.4500 +$192.32 0xd146b2c3…
2026-05-27 23:02:17 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 1 000.00 +$0.4500 +$450.00 0xeda16609…
2026-05-27 17:20:04 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 0.01 +$0.2800 +$0.00 0x8c148ffe…
2026-05-27 17:14:02 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 13.00 +$0.2900 +$3.77 0x9ff1d9f2…
2026-05-27 17:13:53 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 4 890.78 +$0.2900 +$1 418.33 0x5ee6e76a…
2026-05-27 00:03:08 BUY Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 8 558.15 +$0.9760 +$8 352.75 0x9fd58ff3…
2026-05-26 18:03:32 BUY Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 100.00 +$0.8300 +$83.00 0x51921746…
2026-05-25 23:25:36 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes 528.14 +$0.2062 +$108.90 0x7453486c…
2026-05-25 23:21:15 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes 77.24 +$0.2099 +$16.21 0xdb99d92a…
2026-05-25 23:20:42 BUY Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes 419.94 +$0.3799 +$159.54 0xb2f1a8c5…
2026-05-25 22:59:42 BUY Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes 108.92 +$0.9552 +$104.04 0xbfed3c1b…
2026-05-25 18:34:20 SELL Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No 0.10 +$0.9840 +$0.10 0x504ee612…
2026-05-25 18:33:44 SELL Trump out as President by June 30? No 0.12 +$0.9870 +$0.12 0x6f490116…
2026-05-25 18:23:01 SELL Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 1.33 +$0.7860 +$1.05 0x0346f56b…
2026-05-25 15:39:29 SELL US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No 3 593.33 +$0.8700 +$3 126.20 0x78d44c4f…
2026-05-25 00:35:24 BUY Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? Yes 434.38 +$0.9890 +$429.60 0xe2066e56…
2026-05-25 00:26:04 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? No 4 276.69 +$0.9100 +$3 891.79 0x3c0df6c7…
2026-05-24 15:29:44 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 320.00 +$0.8600 +$275.20 0xae5f2a1f…
2026-05-24 15:29:38 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 93.23 +$0.8500 +$79.25 0xe643c2e2…
2026-05-24 15:29:35 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 570.00 +$0.8447 +$481.50 0xd4e75fdd…
2026-05-24 15:29:24 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 30.00 +$0.8300 +$24.90 0x36573c2b…
2026-05-24 15:29:23 BUY Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 44.47 +$0.8300 +$36.91 0x3efce32b…
2026-05-24 15:29:17 BUY Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 43.23 +$0.8500 +$36.75 0x8b0ef42d…
2026-05-24 15:29:09 BUY Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 82.23 +$0.8500 +$69.90 0x306ae14d…
2026-05-24 15:29:05 BUY Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 53.14 +$0.8400 +$44.64 0x0a044278…
2026-05-24 06:33:09 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No 90.45 +$0.7393 +$66.87 0x9e2957f4…
2026-05-24 05:34:10 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No 349.99 +$0.7599 +$265.95 0xc4cb6a50…
2026-05-24 05:34:05 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No 55.05 +$0.7583 +$41.74 0x1106c5ea…
2026-05-24 05:33:58 BUY Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No 1 064.69 +$0.7568 +$805.78 0x07b90b88…
2026-05-24 05:33:41 BUY Iran closes its airspace by June 15? No 1 243.00 +$0.7160 +$889.96 0x6f2cc4bd…
2026-05-24 03:46:10 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 135.00 +$0.5900 +$79.65 0x3d9eeb42…
2026-05-24 03:46:01 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 386.32 +$0.5881 +$227.18 0x11ca603c…
2026-05-24 03:43:05 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 32.23 +$0.5593 +$18.03 0x515e1597…
2026-05-24 03:32:35 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 94.80 +$0.5400 +$51.19 0x1ee57545…
2026-05-24 03:31:49 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 322.00 +$0.5400 +$173.88 0xe6281b7f…
2026-05-24 03:29:47 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 308.48 +$0.5400 +$166.58 0xd6d4a094…
2026-05-24 03:29:43 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No 106.55 +$0.5200 +$55.41 0xc53ed1b6…
2026-05-24 03:28:02 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 6 000.00 +$0.5900 +$3 540.00 0xcd1210fc…
2026-05-24 03:26:57 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 9 502.08 +$0.5900 +$5 605.78 0xa99be9e2…
2026-05-24 03:26:41 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 444.00 +$0.5900 +$261.96 0x74fcb352…
2026-05-24 03:25:33 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 25 000.00 +$0.5800 +$14 500.00 0x070bddb1…
2026-05-24 01:03:39 BUY US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 10.00 +$0.7500 +$7.50 0xdc5ea865…